I thought the information below from my buddy Rich Galen’s MULLINGS COLUMN might help … particularly because I think it’s going to go terribly for Trump. I know, you probably don’t agree, but unless he’s had a complete transformation, he’s going to get unattractively angry, spout silly facts, insult a woman, brag outrageously….or something. At least I can’t picture him driving his own car let alone carrying his dog in a crate on the roof, a la Romney, or even having a dog that could shed on his suits. That’s a blessing, at least.
SO…to cheer us all up after we’ve watched, I thought I’d copy/paste some of Rich’s info from his column, MULLINGS, which you probably ought to read, even subscribe to (tho you don’t have to in order to get it). Here go his reassuring reminders:
- Make no mistake. “The Debate” matters. It may matter a great deal because the two candidates don’t meet again until Sunday, October 9 – after nearly two weeks of nattering and babbling about who won, and what the perceived loser has to do to regain his/her footing in the next debate.
- In the first debate between President Ronald Reagan and challenger Walter Mondale in 1984, Reagan was seen has stumbling over his thoughts and words. The immediate reaction (CNN was only four years old and Fox News Channel was a dozen years from its birth) was that Reagan was showing his age (nearly 74) and might have been losing his grip.
- Reporter Dave Weigel, wrote on Slate.com
“Reagan confessed to [adviser Stu] Spencer that he had flopped. According to Jack Germond and Jules Witcover, when Mondale left the stage, he confided to an aide that ‘This guy is gone’ — as in mentally not all there.”
A poll conducted by Gallup and Newsweek “found 54 percent of debate-watchers giving the victory to Mondale, and only 35 percent to Reagan.” Reagan’s 18-point pre-debate lead immediately dropped by seven points.
- In the second debate, Reagan diffused the age issue very quickly with this famous line:
“I will not make age an issue in this campaign. I am not going to exploit, for political purposes, my opponent’s youth and inexperience”
- Senator Mondale was 56 years old, had served two years in the U.S. Army, had been Jimmy Carter’s Vice President, U.S. Ambassador to Japan, and was a sitting U.S. Senator.
Reagan went on to win 49 states (525 Electoral Votes to 13) in 1984 and won the popular vote by the fifth most lopsided margin in history: 58.8% to 40.6%. Ross Perot came in third in 1992 but may have tilted the election toward Bill Clinton and away from George H.W. Bush. (Z: listening, Johnson voters?)
- There are many such moments that have been produced by these debates and no one should be surprised if “The Debate” adds to that library. Nor, given the build up, should we be surprised if the whole thing comes off as a dud and the two candidates come out of “The Debate” more-or-less in a tie.
- The most likely result is that Clinton supporters will passionately believe that she won; Trump supporters will be equally fervent in claiming he was the clear winner.
- END of pasting.
SO: I’m thinking if Trump does as badly as I feel he will tonight, at least Reagan’s numbers dropped precipitously, too. That gives me some hope. You, too?
Are you going to watch? What do YOU think’ll happen?
(and if you want to read a REALLY FEEL GOOD STORY, check out my post below)
(And RIP, Arnold Palmer…I hope you’re playing golf with my dad…in heaven)